DYNAMIC SYSTEM MODEL OF RICE COMMODITY AVAILABILITY FOR INCREASING THE NEEDS OF THE SOCIETY OF BALIKPAPAN CITY
Keywords:
Availability of rice, Consumption of rice, Policy for Increasing Community Needs, Procurement, DistributionAbstract
The availability of rice is a matter of considerable concern; this is related to food needs
in an area, one of which is the City of Balikpapan. The city of Balikpapan is a city that
has the potential to experience an increase in population due to increased birth rates
and immigration and is supported by the discourse on the isolation of the National
Capital. In one year, humans are able to spend 0.1146 tons/year. With an increase in
population, it has the potential to increase rice consumption in the City of Balikpapan.
Therefore, a rice availability simulation is carried out by considering the availability
factors by using a Causal Loop Diagram and calculating factor values by using a Stock
and Flow Diagram to see what conditions will be in the future after modeling. From
the simulation, two scenarios were obtained to overcome the problem of rice
availability in Balikpapan City, which resulted in an increase in the procurement and
procurement of rice from Bulog and distributors, and the scenario chosen was
scenario 2, namely an increase in rice procurement and distribution.
